¿Bitcoin está a punto de alcanzar el oro? El momento de la bola de cristal del múltiple Mayer

Ah, Bitcoin: ese tesoro virtual amado por los alcistas, que se refieren a él como «oro digital», como si el mundo de las criptomonedas pudiera ser tan refinado. Sin embargo, resulta que los metales preciosos físicos en realidad podrían tener una mejor habilidad para predecir las fluctuaciones bruscas de los precios de Bitcoin que cualquier otra cosa en el éter digital. ¿Quién lo sabía? 🤔

Un comerciante emprendedor de Bitcoin, canalizando los fantasmas de las predicciones del mercado del pasado, invocó el múltiplo BTC/Gold Mayer para justificar su fervor alcista por las criptomonedas. ¡Ah, el encanto de los números, cómo bailan! 🕺💃

La gloriosa historia del múltiple Mayer

Para aquellos que no están familiarizados, el Mayer Multiple mide el precio de Bitcoin en relación con su promedio móvil de 200 días frente al precio del oro. Si la proporción cae por debajo de 1, algunos entusiastas afirman que Bitcoin está «infravalorado», término que, en los círculos financieros, suele ser sinónimo de «listo para dar un salto». ✨

Uno de esos sabios de Twitter declaró audazmente que la proporción solo ha sido tan baja durante las caídas de Bitcoin, sugiriendo que, si aún no está completamente involucrado, ahora podría ser el momento dorado para subirse al tren.

BTC/Gold Mayer Multiple se encuentra ahora en su nivel más bajo fuera de los períodos de caída de bitcoin.

Si aún no lo has hecho todo, ahora es tu momento.

– Alpine (@Alpine1031) 19 de octubre de 2025

Por supuesto, es aconsejable dar un paso atrás y reflexionar si deberíamos depositar nuestra confianza ciega en un número que está atrapado en el pasado como un adivino polvoriento. Aún así, consideremos la idea de cómo se correlacionan los precios caprichosos del oro y Bitcoin. Alerta de spoiler: la plata también tiene voz y voto en esto. 🥈

The Mayer Multiple was the brainchild of Trace Mayer, a «monetary scientist» (yes, that’s a thing) who sought to track Bitcoin’s behavior by comparing its price against its historical average. The man clearly has a passion for trendspotting, and we’re here for it.

In short, the Mayer Multiple is calculated by dividing Bitcoin’s current price by its 200-day moving average. So, if Bitcoin is strutting at $120,000 and the 200-day average is at $100,000, we’re looking at a 1.2 Mayer Multiple. Simple math. Simple minds. Or is it? 😏

If the ratio ventures over 2.4, that signals Bitcoin’s been indulging in one too many cocktails at the «overbought» bar. Meanwhile, a 0.8 Mayer Multiple suggests it’s time to scoop up Bitcoin like it’s on sale. 💸

Oct 27, 2025: The Mayer Multiple is 1.06.

The price of $BTC is 114,874.81 $USD w/ a 200 day moving average of $108,797.55 $USD.@TIPMayerMultple has historically been higher 61.22% of the time w/ an average of 1.20.

Learn more at

– Mayer Multiple (@TIPMayerMultple) October 27, 2025

But wait, there’s more! The Mayer Multiple isn’t just about Bitcoin-it also compares the value of gold or silver to Bitcoin. Yes, it’s a two-way street. Try to keep up, folks. 💁‍♂️

Like all indicators, the Mayer Multiple relies on lagging indicators-basically history trying to predict the future, which is a bit like reading tea leaves. Still, when the stars align, miracles happen.

How Gold and Silver Prices Affect Bitcoin

When gold or silver prices surge ahead of Bitcoin for too long, it’s like a giant warning bell that Bitcoin could be about to catch up. And when it catches up, it tends to do so dramatically. Think of it as the tortoise and hare of the financial world, only with more fireworks. 🎇

Gold and Bitcoin are often paired in the BTC/Gold Mayer Multiple, while Bitcoin’s flirtation with silver is captured in the BTC/Silver Mayer Multiple. Both of these gauge Bitcoin’s performance relative to its 200-day moving average, compared to these glittery metals.

If the Mayer Multiple dips below 1, it’s often taken as a sign that Bitcoin is undervalued in comparison to its precious companions. And when has that ever not been a «buy-the-dip» opportunity? 🤷‍♂️

Take, for example, the following:

The BTC/Gold Mayer Multiple dropped to 0.70 in November 2022 and 0.85 in March 2020-both times near Bitcoin’s market bottom. Not too shabby, right? In the months following, Bitcoin nearly doubled. Who wouldn’t want that kind of return? 🤑
The BTC/Silver Mayer Multiple fell below 1 in September 2020 when Bitcoin was lingering at around $10,900. By April 2021, it was a hair’s breadth away from $60,000. And it happened again between late 2022 and early 2023. Cue dramatic music. 🎶

Just recently, the BTC/Gold ratio dipped to a modest 0.84, while the BTC/Silver ratio momentarily fell under 1 in October. Dips like these-even the smallest ones-have historically been a green light for the «buy-the-dip» brigade. 🟢

So, in conclusion, when the precious metals’ ratios fall below 1, it’s often the prelude to a major Bitcoin rally. Keep your wallets handy. 💼

What Gold and Silver Prices Mean for Bitcoin

Both the gold and silver Mayer Multiples are currently flashing a bullish outlook for Bitcoin. Simple logic: when the precious metals outperform Bitcoin for too long, Bitcoin gets jealous. It catches up. And when it catches up, oh boy-it does it with a vengeance. 🏃‍♂️💨

This year alone, gold is up a respectable 54%, silver has soared 63%, and Bitcoin is trailing with a more modest 21%. But don’t get too comfortable, Bitcoin’s ready to play catch-up, and it’s bringing some serious momentum. 💥

In the long run, Bitcoin is sitting pretty: it’s up a staggering 700% over the last five years, while gold and silver have only doubled their worth. Can we get a round of applause for Bitcoin, please? 👏

And let’s not forget the broader, macroeconomic factors that support Bitcoin’s bullish case-lower interest rates, pro-crypto policies, and the ever-increasing institutional interest in crypto. It’s the perfect storm for Bitcoin to break out and claim its spot as the king of digital assets once again. 👑

2025-10-28 23:20